The Climate Equivalence Principle

The Climate Equivalence Principle

Edwin X Berry, PhD, Theoretical Physics, CCM

Bigfork, Montana, USA

The Climate Equivalence Principle (CEP) proves human CO2 does not change the climate.

On September 7, 2018, I presented the Climate Equivalence Principle (CEP) at the International Climate Conference in Porto, Portugal, in my talk “A fatal flaw in global warming science.” 

The late Richard Courtney, a UK climate scientist and professional reviewer, wrote that my discovery of the CEP and my formulation of the IPCC’s natural and human carbon cycles are the ONLY true breakthroughs in climate science since 1980.

Here’s my Porto slide #10, which shows how climate alarmists need a magical demon to trap human CO2 while letting natural CO2flow freely out of the air.

My book Climate Miracle (October 2020, page 19) explains the CEP. His 2019, 2021, and 2023 papers use the CEP to calculate the IPCC’s true human carbon cycle.

The Achilles heel of climate science.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assumes the natural CO2 level in 1750 was 280 ppm. Without better data, we accept this IPCC assumption. Today, CO2 is about 420 ppm and rising. So, the CO2 increase is 140 ppm or 33% of today’s total CO2.

Data also show that human CO2 emissions account for about 3%, and natural CO2 emissions account for about 97% of the CO2 that flows into the atmosphere every year.

This raises the obvious question: How can 3% of the CO2 inflow become 33% of the CO2 in the atmosphere?

Answer: It can’t.

Even the IPCC recognized this problem.

The IPCC “solves” this problem by claiming that natural CO2 has a half-life of about 2.4 years, while human CO2 has a half-life of hundreds of years.

But the IPCC forgot the Climate Equivalence Principle (CEP). The CEP says that human and natural 12CO2 molecules are identical, so they have the same half-lives and flow through the carbon cycle at the same rate.

The CEP overturns all climate laws and regulations, including the Endangerment Finding that President Trump has properly repealed. A court cannot overturn the CEP because it is an undeniable principle of physics.

This IPCC fraud, which the CEP proves false, is still the basis of all climate laws, regulations, and alarmism.

All climate laws and regulations are based on these three assumptions:

1. Human CO2 emissions cause the CO2 increase above 280 ppm.
2. This human-caused CO2 increase causes all global warming.
3. This human-caused global warming causes bad stuff to happen.

The CEP proves Assumption (1) is false.

Assumption (2) is also false.

Implications for President Trump

If President Trump uses the CEP to defend his repeal of the EPA’s Endangerment Finding (EF), he will also overturn all climate laws and regulations.

The American Meteorological Society (AMS) plans to file a lawsuit to “prove” Trump is wrong, but the AMS is also wrong on climate science.

Here is the AMS summary argument on the EF (quote):

The scientific evidence for these broad conclusions is extensive, robust, and thoroughly vetted.

• Climate change is among the most comprehensively investigated topics in the history of science.
• For decades, thousands of scientists from dozens of fields of science have investigated the climate system and the impact people have on it.
• The scientific evidence has been assessed comprehensively by independent scientific institutions and independent experts that consider all evidence. Crucially, scientific accuracy is central to the standing and credibility of scientific institutions that have examined and validated climate science.
• No broadly contradictory assessments from credible scientific organizations exist.

The repeal of the Endangerment Finding does not alter the central, unambiguous scientific conclusion: the climate change people are causing threatens human lives and well-being.

The CEP neuters the AMS “the central scientific conclusion” that human CO2 “threatens human lives and well-being.’

The AMS says extensive scientific evidence proves Assumptions (1) and (2) are true. But the scientific method proves that this AMS claim violates the scientific method.

The scientific method is clear: you can’t prove an assumption is true, but a single false prediction from an assumption proves it false.

The CEP falsifies the AMS assumption that human CO2 remains in the atmosphere longer than natural CO2. Checkmate!

The AMS further claims that only a certified “credible scientific organization” can dispute the AMS assumptions. This is an invalid “authority” argument that also conflicts with the scientific method. The proof is what matters, not its source.

How the CEP proves Assumption (1) is false:

1. IPCC says human CO2 has a half-life much greater than natural CO2.
2. IPCC uses this claim to support its claim that Assumption (1) is true.
3. CEP proves human and natural CO2 must have the same half-lives.
4. Therefore, Assumption (1) is false.

Other advantages of the CEP are:

1. Proves human CO2 emissions add little to the CO2 level.
2. Cannot be proven wrong in court because it is a principle.
3. Requires no data, math, or high-level education to understand.
4. Overturns the DOE climate report.
5. Overturns the Endangerment Finding. 
6. Overturns the false science of the American Meteorological Society.
7. Overturns the climate policies of President GHW Bush.
8. Overturns scientific publications, case law, and climate beliefs.
9. Supports all of President Trump’s executive orders on energy and climate.
10. Proves restricting CO2 emissions will not slow the natural CO2 increase. 
11. Proves carbon capture is a waste of money and engineering talent.
12. May convert some Democrats to vote Republican.

The key point is that the CEP proof that Assumption (1) is false will prevail in court.