IPCC’s climate claims are a global fraud that wants to make you a slave.
NASA’s “The Causes of Climate Change” parrots the UN IPCC:
In its Fifth Assessment Report, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a group of 1,300 independent scientific experts from countries all over the world under the auspices of the United Nations, concluded there’s a more than 95 percent probability that human activities over the past 50 years have warmed our planet.
The industrial activities that our modern civilization depends upon have raised atmospheric carbon dioxide levels from 280 parts per million to about 417 parts per million in the last 151 years. The panel also concluded there’s a better than 95 percent probability that human-produced greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide have caused much of the observed increase in Earth’s temperatures over the past 50-plus years.
The IPCC is really saying:
We don’t have any evidence to support our position, but we found 1300 government-paid scientists who will vote for it anyway.
We assume, in contradiction to data, that (1) human carbon emissions cause all the increase in atmospheric CO2 and (2) CO2 increase causes warming.
NASA also says,
Water vapor. The most abundant greenhouse gas, but importantly, it acts as a feedback to the climate. Water vapor increases as the Earth’s atmosphere warms, but so does the possibility of clouds and precipitation, making these some of the most important feedback mechanisms to the greenhouse effect.
The IPCC admits that CO2 alone cannot explain the observed warming, so the IPCC blames the additional warming on water vapor. But IPCC claim is in trouble because the relative humidity in the atmosphere has decreased as the Earth has warmed.
Cork Hayden shows the basic physics
Howard “Cork” Hayden presents the basic physics of radiation as it affects the Earth’s temperature. He calls out the IPCC for its errors in physics. His presentation here is the place to begin because we all should be on the same page on the basic physics of radiation.
He clarifies the importance of heat inflow and heat outflow. For a given heat inflow, the surface and atmosphere will adjust until heat outflow equals heat inflow. That is the equilibrium condition. Even though the flows continue, the levels remain the same.
This parallels my paper’s discussion of the effect of human CO2 on atmospheric CO2. The rate of change of CO2 in the atmosphere will adjust until CO2 outflow equals CO2 inflow. At this equilibrium, even though the flows continue, the levels remain the same.
To correct a post on WUWT, at equilibrium, the temperature at the surface will be greater than the temperature above the surface because heat is flowing away from the surface.
Ned Nikolov and Karl Zeller show surface pressure controls surface temperature.
What if you could find an equation that describes the effect of surface pressure on the increase in surface temperature for Venus, Earth, Moon, Mars, Titan and Triton?
Nikolov & Zeller (2022) use the results of Nikolov & Zeller (2017) to derive exact analytical formulas that show how albedo and surface pressure accurately predicts the surface temperatures for these six diverse planetary bodies.
Their research shows the composition of an atmosphere is irrelevant, which indicates CO2 and other greenhouse gases don’t control the surface temperature. Applied to Earth, this means atmospheric CO2 is irrelevant to climate change.
They show how total surface pressure, independent of atmospheric composition, adiabatically heats the surface. Their Equation (20) fully describes the global surface temperature of rocky planets and moons without recourse to greenhouse-gas radiative forcing.
Their result proves the recent warming was caused by a reduction of cloud albedo and not by the increase of greenhouse-gas concentrations as claimed by the IPCC.
They show the Earth’s climate is much more stable than the other bodies to a wide range of solar radiation and the effect of changing CO2 is insignificant or zero.
Here is Nikolov & Zeller (2017).
Nikolov & Zeller (2014) Equation (2) use the same formula for the Stefan-Boltzmann Law as Equation (4) in Hayden’s Chapter 4.
So, how can Nikolov & Zeller conclude that GHGs do not warm the atmosphere when Hayden Chapter 8 that shows that GHGs do warm the atmosphere for Earth?
Who will be first to explain why this difference occurs?
Henrik Svensmark et al. show how cosmic rays change the Earth’s albedo.
Hayden and Nikolov and Zeller show the albedo is very important in controlling the heat inflow from the sun.
Henrik Svensmark et al. (2021) show how changes in cosmic rays change the duration of clouds and thereby change the Earth’s albedo. Cosmic rays create cloud nuclei.
More cloud nuclei make warm convective clouds last longer (Berry, 1967, 1969; Berry and Reinhardt, 1974a, b, c, d).
Henrik Svensmark et al. put the last nail in IPCC’s coffin. The effect of cosmic rays on the Earth’s climate shows in monthly to millennial data.
As the solar system traveled through the Milky Way’s spiral arms, cosmic rays increased, cloud cover increased, and Earth cooled.
This subject is due for your serious review.
The four publications shown here help plow a path to what really controls the climate.