Let’s analyze Matt Rosendale’s answers

by Dr. Ed Berry

Matt Rosendale responded to Roger Koopman’s request for answers about Matt’s votes on 20 liberal bills with a personal meeting. Here’s the result of Matt’s meeting with Roger.

First, we strike HB 186 in 2011 where TAB was wrong and Matt voted NO. Then, here’s how Matt explained his YES votes on the remaining 19 liberal bills:

  1. He stuck to his YES votes on 7 bills.
  2. He is still unsure if he would vote YES or NO on 7 bills.
  3. He admitted he voted wrong on 5 bills.

Unfortunately, Matt did not give Roger a copy of his response on each of the 19 bills, so we cannot analyze how Matt voted on specific issues. If Matt gives me this data, I will add it here.

About TAB Scores

TAB scores are the best objective conservative measuring system available. TAB meets all the requirements of a good scientific hypothesis:

  1. TAB is simple because it evaluates bills solely by whether they increase or decrease the presence of government in our lives.
  2. TAB can be evaluated by testing its results against real data.

TAB properly identifies Democrats because a Democrat rarely scores above TAB 10. TAB identifies the most conservative Republicans with TAB scores up to 99. TAB evaluates how each Republican compares to Democrats and conservative Republicans.

Democrats vote for more government control of our lives. True Republicans vote for less government control of our lives. TAB nails this difference. No other scoring system comes close to the accuracy and objectivity of TAB.

Roger’s subjective opinion

Roger also included his subjective opinion of Matt, as follows:

“While his official TAB marks will remain 54, I now regard him as a 65 to 70 percenter.”

I am not sure what this means. If Matt scored TAB 54, how can Matt subjectively rate TAB 65 to 70?

TAB is objective and nothing else. There is no basis to assume a higher (or lower) TAB score other than what is measured. It’s like in baseball. If your batting average is 150 we cannot assume your batting average is 250.

My opinion

According to Roger’s letter, Matt said:

  1. He would vote for 7 of the liberal bills again but we don’t know which bills.
  2. He is unsure even today how he would vote on 7 other liberal bills.
  3. He admitted he made incorrect votes on 5 liberal bills

To date, we don’t know which of the 19 bills apply to which of Matt’s positions.

So here’s how I see it:

Since Matt said he would vote again for 7 liberal bills, he still can’t decide how he should vote on 7 liberal bills, and he was a “loose cannon” when he voted YES on 5 liberal bills (maybe he pressed the wrong vote button) … how can we raise Matt’s TAB score?

Raising Matt’s TAB score on the basis of his answers would be like raising Democrat Senator Tester’s TAB score if he later said he made a mistake when he voted for Obamacare. Part of the job description for an elected official is to press the correct vote button.

In this business, mistakes are not allowed and an admission of a mistake does not raise a score, it lowers it.

Are we going to pat Matt on the head and call him a “good boy” if he purposely voted with Democrats on 37 percent of these liberal bills, still does not know how he would vote again on another 37 percent of these liberal bills, and admits he was a “loose cannon” when he voted YES on the last 26 percent of these 19 liberal bills?

Are you going to fly with a pilot who lands in the wrong airport 37 percent of the time, can’t decide where to land 37 percent of the time, and who crashes 26 percent of the time?

The bottom line

The bottom line is the TAB scores of Matt Rosendale and Corey Stapleton are virtually the same. You must decide who you prefer to send to Congress on considerations outside their similar conservative ratings.

Maybe understanding bills and voting accurately are two considerations.

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