by Ed Berry
Republicans fall into “four rough camps,” with approximate composition shown in parentheses:
- Somewhat Conservative (40%)
- Moderate to Liberal (30%)
- Very Conservative but Secular (10%)
- Very Conservative Evangelical (20%)
The Somewhat Conservatives always back the winner. The Moderate to Liberal and the Very Conservative but Secular groups always support the Somewhat Conservatives candidate when their candidate fails.
The Very Conservative Evangelicals (VCEs) take a different path than other Republicans. VCEs cause the “split” in the Republican Party because they exclude people who disagree with their narrow view of politics.
Dominant VCE’s refer to the other Republicans as “liberal, left-wing, RINO Republicans.” They think they are the only true Republicans. It is very rare for a VCE to win a competitive major election. VCE’s tried to close the Republican Party to the other 80 percent. They thought they could win elections with only ten percent of the popular vote.
While most people vote for candidates they most like, VCEs typically exclude candidates they do not like. Then, if no candidate passes their test, they will vote third party or not at all. Ryan Zinke for Congress was “not good enough” for VCEs because he scored only about 96 percent on a prolife test rather than 100. Donald Trump was not good enough for many Montana VCEs, so they supported Ted Cruz.
Prominent VCEs in Montana’s 2020 primary election are Greg Gianforte and Matt Rosendale. Even though I voted for them in their final elections, I was not surprised that Gianforte lost to Democrat Steve Bullock in 2016 and Rosendale lost to Democrat Tester in 2018. If Republican primary voters nominate them again in 2020, I will not be surprised when they lose again.
My political orientation
Everyone who has a political opinion has a political orientation that drives their political opinion. I am no different. Therefore, you should know my political orientation. If you disagree with my orientation, you will likely disagree with my choice of candidates. That’s politics.
The CSKT Compact to Montana
I wrote the book on the CSKT Compact. I studied every law and legal decision that would affect water rights litigations with and without the Compact. I listed all objections to the Compact and provided evidence that every objection contradicted legal and economic reality.
The Compact will save Montana farmers, ranchers, and water users from a generation of water rights litigations that would cost more than Montanans can afford. That fact may not bother those who are independently wealthy and who are not farmers or ranchers.
The Compact will provide more benefits immediately than all the expensive lawsuits could provide in the best scenario. The Compact will bring federal money into the state. It will protect downriver states from attaching Montana’s water during droughts. This alone could save Montana’s economy during droughts.
I am a professional climate physicist. My recent research, now recognized worldwide among climate scientists, proves human carbon emissions have little effect on atmospheric CO2. All scientists who claim otherwise are wrong. All universities, colleges, and schools that teach otherwise are teaching their students fiction. All promoters of climate-change treaties are delusional. All foundations that fund the fiction are doing a disservice to the people.
President Trump is correct. But no science advisor has told him the truth about the human effect on CO2 and, therefore, on climate change.
COVID-19 and the Economy
I agree with Porter Stansberry. The global reaction to the COVID-19 crisis “will go down as one of the largest overreactions in history.”
The political response has been to try to eliminate the disease no matter what the economic cost. People listened only to the medical people and not to the economists. As a result, the cost of the cure has exceeded the cost of the disease. The job losses have hurt the most vulnerable while government workers get paid vacations.
COVID-19 has separated the political parties. Democrats favor government control. Republicans tend to favor freedom and an open society. Of course, Democrats want to destroy the economy because they know an economic disaster will help them win in November.
Democrats respond to COVID-19 like they respond to their imagined climate change. The idea that a disaster could take down America is good news to Democrats and especially to Bill Gates who hopes to force his vaccine on everyone except his own family and buddies.
For years, Gates has preached that we must significantly reduce the human population to save planet Earth from climate change. He set up his foundation to make this happen. Recently, Gates appeared smiling and giddy on TV. He can survive on his $500 million yacht. Tests of his vaccines have killed people in Africa and sterilized women in India. If there was ever a reason to NOT allow government to force vaccinate anyone, this is it.
There is one major difference between climate change and COVID-19: there is only one planet Earth but there are many people. Therefore, government responses should be different. We cannot experiment on our one Earth to test climate ideas, but we can learn more about COVID-19 if we allow people the freedom to choose.
The best government response to COVID-19 is to expand personal freedom. If people don’t want to go to work or attends large gatherings, fine. If they do, also fine. They become voluntary test cases. The data would be valuable in the development of responses. Unfortunately, the dominant government response has been to restrict personal freedom. Overall, Republican officials have given more support the individual freedom than Democrat officials.
Candidates whom I support in the Montana primary election
I recommend candidates for selected, contested races in the Republican primary elections where I have personal knowledge of the candidates. I make only positive recommendations. If I did not recommend you it does not mean I don’t like you. It only means I believe the candidate I recommended will make the best decisions for the people of Montana.
US Senator: Steve Daines because he has done an excellent job for Montana conservatives.
I have only one complaint against Senator Daines. His repetitious emails in the past few months claim Bullock is beating him and he needs more money to win in November. Here is why these emails are not good for Daines.
First, to say Bullock is beating him makes Daines look like a loser, and no one wants to support a loser.
Second, while his supporters are hurting for money, this is an especially bad time to ask people for money.
Third, Daines will easily win his primary election, so he does not need money now.
Fourth, Daines success in November will depend upon President Trump’s success in reopening America’s economy.
Senator Daines should focus on our economy. He should use details like calling for Democrat Superintendent Jeff Mow to reopen Glacier National Park so people will visit Montana.
Governor: Tim Fox because he is by far the best prepared and most experienced to govern Montana. Tim Fox is the most electable candidate. He pulled a record number of votes in his 2016 reelection to Attorney General. With Tim Fox comes Jon Knokey as Lieutenant Governor. Jon is by far the best candidate for Lt. Governor. Tim Fox supported the CSKT Compact.
Dr. Al Olszewski is the second most electable candidate. He has significant experience in Montana’s legislature. Although he opposes the CSKT Compact, he would be my choice if Tim Fox were not running.
Greg Gianforte is a VCE who would likely lose in November as he did in 2016. If elected, he will burn up his 4 years in on-the-job training. Gianforte supports a museum in Montana that promotes the belief that the Earth is 6000-years old and that dinosaurs died off only a few thousand years ago. Gianforte’s anti-science view of history conflicts with the history of the American Indian tribes. Greg Gianforte did not support the Compact in 2018.
Congress: Corey Stapleton because he is the most qualified to represent Montana. Joe Dooling is the next most qualified. Matt Rosendale would likely lose again. Matt is a far-right VCE who opposes the CSKT Compact. He promoted his image of being a drone shooter, which showed his inability to judge technology and politics.
Attorney General: Jon Bennion because he is the most qualified for the job. He supported the CSKT Compact. Jon is Chief Deputy Attorney General under Tim Fox. His competitor, Austin Knudsen, opposed the CSKT Water Compact which shows he lacks legal expertise to be AG.
State Auditor: Troy Downing because he is by far the best educated and experienced candidate for this important job.
SD 2: Carl Glimm because he understands that the politically forced response to COVID-19 has cost America more in lives and living than COVID-19 itself. Carl voted against the CSKT Compact, but he is the best choice for SD 2.
SD 10: Steve Fitzpatrick because he voted for the CSKT Compact.
HD 6: Bruce Tutvedt because he was a major supporter of the CSKT Compact, has significant experience in Montana’s legislature, and a proven record of making wise decisions for Montana.
HD 7: Frank Garner because he has an excellent record of serving Montana in the legislature. Although Garner voted against the CSKT Compact, he made Keith Regier follow House rules on the 2018 vote on the Compact. VCEs unfairly called him “gas tax Garner” because they do not understand the importance of funding Montana’s infrastructure. Montanans don’t want to drive on gravel roads.
HD 11: Derek Skees because he understands that our responses to COVID-19 must balance our desire to save human lives with the lives lost and damage done by shutting down America’s economy. Although Derek is a VCE and he opposed the CSKT Compact, he nailed his response to the questions of the Daily Inter Lake. Dee Kirk-Boom is a very good candidate, but I wish she had run against Keith Regier rather than against Derek Skees.
HD 21: Ed Buttrey because he voted for the CSKT Compact.
HD 30: Geraldine Custer because she voted for the CSKT Compact.
HD 93: Joe Read because he supports true science and opposes the irrational pseudoscience used by the climate alarmists. Although Joe voted against the CSKT Compact, we need his wisdom in our legislature.