by Dr. Ed Berry
In 2006, 10,377 conservative Montanans, who should have voted for the Republican candidate, voted for the Libertarian candidate for the US Senate. Democrat Jon Tester collected 199,845 votes compared to 196,293 votes for Republican Conrad Burns, a difference of 3,552 votes.
These 10,377 Libertarian votes were 2.55 percent of the total votes cast. The winning difference of 3,552 votes was 0.87 percent of the total votes cast. In the statistical definition, these 2.55 percent are in the “extreme” tail of the distribution. The tail wagged the dog.
These 10,377 Montana Libertarian votes sent Democrat Jon Tester to the US Senate where he became the 51st vote for the Democrats. The US Senate then elected Harry Reid (D) as their Senate Majority Leader. [Read more…]