by Dr. Ed Berry
The 2012 general election showed Republicans and Democrats each have about 230k voters in Montana. We will use 230k as a base to estimate relevant voter turnout.
The Democrats had 124k voters and the Republicans had 155k voters. In the 2012 primary the Democrats had 88k voters and the Republicans had 140k voters.
Those numbers represent a voter turnout of 54 percent for Democrats and 67 percent for Republicans in the 2016 primary. Voter turnout in 2012 was 38 percent for Democrats and 61 percent for Republicans.
The 2016 primary had 40 percent more Democrat voters and 10 percent more Republican voters than the 2012 primary.
For Democrats, the 2016 race between Hillary and Bernie was more attractive than the 2012 race of Obama with no competitor. In 2016, Bernie beat Hillary by a significant 63k to 55k. [Read more…]