by Kyoji Kimoto
The AGW theory of the IPCC was established by Dr. S. Manabe (NOAA GFDL in Princeton University) and Dr. J. Hansen (NASA GISS, Columbia University). It is theoretically failed due to the three Errors as shown below. Manabe and Hansen will be in a difficult situation when global cooling will occur with low solar activity and minus PDO index near future.
The central claim of the AGW theory can be expressed as follows, in which Planck response = 1.2K is the most basic assumption. In this essay, Planck response means no-feedback climate sensitivity obtained with the fixed absolute humidity.
Manabe & Wetherald (1967) with 1DRCM:
Climate Sensitivity=Planck response x Feedback effect (wv)
=1.3K x 1.8=2.4K
Soden & Held (2006) with fourteen 3DGCMs for AR4 of the IPCC:
Climate Sensitivity=Planck response x Feedback effects (wv, a, cl, lp)
=1.2K x 2.5=3K
- wv: water vapor,
- a: albedo,
- cl: cloud,
- lp: lapse rate
Japanese government used the AGW theory to promote nuclear power in this small country where huge earthquakes and tsunamis have occurred repeatedly. In 1998, it decided to promote 20 nuclear reactors increasing the share of nuclear power over 50 % of the energy for electricity to meet the 6% CO2 cut by Kyoto protocol in 1997. The Fukushima nuclear disaster occurred in 2011 under Government policy to avoid AGW with nuclear power.
The following is the history of the AGW theory and its use in Japan for the promotion of nuclear power. Errors in red character are explained afterwards. [Read more…]
by Dr. Ed Berry
In January 2014, some parents of home-schooled students asked if I would teach their high school students math, physics, and climate physics. Since the families attended a local protestant church whose pastor preached the Earth was 6000 years old, I was concerned about discussing proxy climate data spanning six million years.
So I asked the parents. I explained I would not force students to “believe” the Earth was older than 6000 years but it is necessary to talk about scientific data that predates 6000 years. They returned with the response from their pastor,
“I will not have anyone in my church hearing about the Earth being older than 6000 years.”
End of story. The only way these home schooled students would ever hear anything about an Earth or universe older than 6000 years would be to first quit their pastor’s church, which I recommend.
This home-school event reminded me of what I saw in South Africa in the late 1960’s.
African parents bound their infant children’s legs to make them unable to walk when they grow up. These parents believed their children would survive better on charity if they were deformed.
In America in 2014, some uneducated pastors and willing parents bind their children’s minds to make them unable to understand science when they grow up.
Let me be clear.
I have no problem with religious groups teaching their version of science so long as they teach it as a science. I do have a problem with religious groups forbidding students to learn the accepted world view of science. Such a restriction is like not teaching students to read. It leaves a learning gap that impairs them for life. [Read more…]
by Dr. Ed Berry
My fellow Americans, my speech writers wrote
“2014 was the planet’s warmest year on record.”
Rather than parrot what they write, it’s time I give you a lesson on the scientific method.
That’s right, I’m going to come clean about the climate hoax.
The fact is your government has used invalid data, cherry-picked data, and bypassed the scientific method.
NASA said 2014 was the warmest year on record.
In a later paragraph, that no one seems to have read but me, NASA revealed there is only a 38 percent chance 2014 was the warmest year on record.
That means there is a 62 percent chance 2014 is NOT the warmest year on record. Duh.
Nice try NASA but no cigar. [Read more…]
Kyoji Kimoto reviews the basic global warming hypothesis. This hypothesis claims doubling atmospheric carbon dioxide in the absence of feedbacks will warm the Earth by about 1.2 degrees C.
All IPCC’s global warming predictions are based on this basic hypothesis.
Kyoji Kimoto shows why the basic global warming hypothesis may be wrong. He shows doubling carbon dioxide in the absence of feedbacks will warm the Earth by only 0.14 degrees C.
Kimoto’s paper is now open to scientific review.
by Kyoji Kimoto
1. Activities of four eminent modelers
The central dogma in anthropogenic global warming (AGW) theory is that zero feedback climate sensitivity (Planck response) is 1.2~1.3 K. This gives climate sensitivity when multiplied by feedbacks (Hansen et al., 1984).
Until Kimoto (2009), theoretical discussions concentrated on the feedback issue. However, it is impossible to accurately determine the feedbacks caused by the variable nature of water in the perturbed atmosphere with CO2 doubling. This problem has resulted in speculative discussions for a long time.
However, rigorous discussions are possible for the zero feedback climate sensitivity (Planck response) based on mathematics and physics. The Planck response of 1.2 K for GCMs comes from one-dimensional radiative convective equilibrium models (1DRCM) that assume the fixed lapse rate of 6.5 K/km (FLRA) and use the mathematical method of Cess (1976), equation (3).
The works of the following eminent modelers are mainly concerned with the central dogma of the AGW theory. [Read more…]
by John Coleman, Founder of The Weather Channel
by Ivar Giaever, 1973 Nobel Prize in Physics [Dr. Giaver is a Democrat. – Ed]
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Video Published on Jun 9, 2013
Presentation of Prof. Murry Salby in Hamburg, Germany, on 18 April 2013 with the title: Relationship between Greenhouse Gases and Global Temperature. [Read more…]
by Rupert Darwall, City Journal
Climate-change science is “settled,” say proponents of anthropogenic (human-induced) global warming, or AGW: the earth is getting warmer, and human activities are the reason. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), set up by the United Nations in 1988, has issued five assessment reports since its founding. In its most recent, in 2013, the IPCC stated that it was now “95 to 100 percent certain” that human activities—especially fossil-fuel emissions—are the primary drivers of planetary warming. Frequent news reports—such as the story of the melting of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, a process that some scientists say is irreversible—seemingly confirm these conclusions.
And yet, highly credentialed scientists, including Nobel Prize–winning physicist Ivar Giaever, reject what is often called the “climate consensus.” [Read more…]